10.32 PM Friday, 19 April 2024
  • City Fajr Shuruq Duhr Asr Magrib Isha
  • Dubai 04:32 05:49 12:21 15:48 18:47 20:04
19 April 2024

China's economic growth slows but still strong

An investor walks past the stock price monitor at a private securities company Thursday in Shanghai, China. World stocks were mixed Thursday as China reported slower growth, suggesting a waning contribution by the world's No. 2 economy to the global recovery. (AP)

Published
By AFP

China said Thursday its economy grew at a slower but still robust pace in the third quarter, which according to analyts showed that efforts to steer the country toward more sustainable growth were working.

Consumer prices rose at their fastest pace in nearly two years in September, official data showed, an apparent explanation for Beijing's decision this week to hike interest rates for the first time since 2007.

Gross domestic product expanded 9.6 per cent year-on-year in the third quarter, beating forecasts for 9.5 per cent growth, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data.

The figure marked a decline from 10.3 per cent growth in the second quarter and 11.9 per cent in the first three months as Beijing started to withdraw stimulus measures introduced to combat the global crisis.

The closely watched consumer price index, a key measure of inflation, rose 3.6 per cent in September from a year earlier, the fastest pace since October 2008, and 0.6 percent higher than the previous month.

"The overall economy remains sound, and the momentum of economic recovery is further consolidated," NBS spokesman Sheng Laiyun told a press conference.

Sheng however warned there were still "many problems and difficulties" within China, adding that Beijing needed to strike a balance between maintaining stable and sound development and managing inflationary expectations.

Chinese shares closed down 0.68 per cent over inflation fears while Hong Kong shares ended up 0.39 per cent. Tokyo was flat.

Analysts said the data should ease concerns that the world's second-largest economy -- which overtook Japan in the second quarter -- was heading for a sharp slowdown.

"Policy measures put in place earlier this year appear to have helped steer the Chinese economy through a middle course between overheating and a serious downturn," said Brian Jackson, a Hong Kong-based senior strategist at Royal Bank of Canada.

"Today's data provide further confirmation that the slowdown in Chinese growth is very moderate and that conditions are stabilising."

Sheng said the slowdown in growth had tapered off, adding he believed expansion for the full year would exceed 10 percent.

The inflation rate was above the government's annual target of three percent and was mainly due to rising food prices, Sheng said, after widespread flooding and an unusually hot summer wiped out crops.

Beijing-based Citigroup economist Ken Peng said he expected inflation to exceed four per cent this year -- but noted it was a level the economy "can easily stomach".

Industrial output rose 13.3 per cent in September from a year earlier, slightly slower than the 13.9 per cent growth in the previous month as authorities cracked down on inefficient and highly-polluting factories to meet energy efficiency targets.

Royal Bank of Scotland economist Ben Simpfendorfer said the data showed the economy was heading towards more normal, sustainable growth.

"It is probably running a little bit too strong at nine percent, ideally eight percent would be more appropriate," he told AFP.

Retail sales, the main gauge of consumer spending, rose 18.3 percent in the first nine months of 2010 compared with a year ago.

China's fixed asset investment in urban areas, a measure of government spending on infrastructure and a key driver of growth, rose 24.5 per cent in January-September, lower than the 24.8 percent growth in the first eight months as officials tightened lending restrictions.

The data comes after the People's Bank of China announced on Tuesday it would raise one-year lending and deposit rates for the first time in nearly three years as Beijing ramped up efforts to contain rising inflation and cool the red-hot real estate market.

Property prices and bank lending rose in September, defying official moves to dampen both, and fuelling fears of a damaging bubble and a potential new crop of bad loans.

Central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan warned that the risks of excessive liquidity, inflation, asset bubbles and bad loans would "increase significantly," in comments published Thursday.

Zhou made the remarks at a meeting between the International Monetary Fund and central bankers in Shanghai earlier this week and they may provide some insight into the reasons that led the central bank to hike interest rates.