3.24 AM Friday, 29 March 2024
  • City Fajr Shuruq Duhr Asr Magrib Isha
  • Dubai 04:56 06:10 12:26 15:53 18:37 19:52
29 March 2024

Modi seeks personal triumph in final round today

Indian vendors hold the day's mayor newspapers on a street in Varanasi on May 11, 2014, which highlighted the forthcoming last phase of elections in India's mammoth democratic process. India's frontrunner for prime minister Narendra Modi urged voters to turn out in record numbers to throw the scandal-plagued Congress party out of power as a bitter, marathon election campaign neared its end. Modi, from the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), made his final appeal to voters before the last round of voting on Monday in the world's biggest election, which is expected to catapult the Hindu nationalist hardliner to power. (AFP)

Published
By Reuters

India's general election reaches a climax on Monday as opposition challenger Narendra Modi seeks a personal mandate in Varanasi, the holy city on the river Ganges, to govern by his modernised brand of Hindu nationalism.

Modi is the first prime ministerial candidate to stand in the 3,000-year-old city where several religions mingle.

Varanasi is an ancient centre of Buddhism. A triumph in the city - one of 41 seats in Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and West Bengal which are voting on the final day of India's five-week general election - would crown a gruelling campaign by the 63-year-old chief minister of Gujarat to lead his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) back to power after a decade in opposition.

Campaigning mainly on promises to create jobs and restore India to a path of high economic growth, Modi  has largely steered clear of religion.

His oratory skills and high-tech campaign have made him a solid favourite in opinion polls to unseat the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty from New Delhi - and easily take Varanasi.

Modi "will win the election from this Varanasi constituency with a large majority", BJP President Rajnath Singh told reporters as campaigning wrapped up at the weekend. All other candidates would "lose their deposits".

Congress, which has lost popularity after a string of corruption scandals and a sharp economic slowdown, promises to extend welfare policies that helped it sweep into a second term five years ago. "I am confident of giving a tough fight to Narendra Modi," its candidate Ajay Rai told Reuters.

Market optimism

Buoyed by reports from the field in the eight rounds of voting already held, BJP leaders predict that the party and its allies may win a record 300 seats - above the 272 needed to secure an outright majority.

They will get an idea of whether they are right soon after voting ends on Monday, with the first TV exit polls due to be released at 6.30 pm (1300 GMT). The official count is due on Friday.

Market rumours that the exit polls would point to a clear BJP victory sent Indian stocks to a record high last week, a sign of investor hopes that Modi would win a clear endorsement for his 'Gujarat model' of pro-business policies.

Polls have got it wrong in the past, however, falsely predicting that the BJP would win in 2004. India's bourse regulator has asked exchanges to test their systems to cope in case there is a sell-off on Tuesday.

If Modi falls short, not only might he miss out on the premiership, but India would also face uncertain talks to form a coalition government that - even if led by the BJP - could fall hostage to the demands of regional parties.

Battle of the roadshows


The baking streets of Varanasi have witnessed a procession of carnival-style 'roadshows' where candidates sought to prove their pulling power among locals whose voting patterns are tied  to caste as well as religion.

Even Rahul Gandhi, whose lacklustre campaign is likely to end in the worst-ever defeat for the ruling Congress party, drew big crowds on Saturday, in a response to Modi's campaign stop in his own constituency days earlier.

As Gandhi's bandwagon drew away, one younger man said he would vote for anti-corruption campaigner Arvind Kejriwal, the leader of the Aam Admi, or Common Man, party who has gone head to head with Modi.

"Modi is not a good man," said Faizan Ansari, 19, also a silk weaver. "His people say that those who oppose him should go to Pakistan. We love India. We don't fear Modi."

Splitting the vote

However, with anti-Modi votes split between Aam Admi and Congress, none of his rivals predict victory in the ancient city, where Hindus bathe daily in the Ganges. One local poll published by the India Today media group gives him 56 percent of the vote in the city, with the Congress candidate a distant second.

"There is no contest in Varanasi," said Koushal Kishor Mishra, a political science professor at the Banaras Hindu University in Varanasi. "The Modi wave is there - I don't know if it is a tsunami or not."

Modi has raised the stakes by attacking regional rivals that he might need to call on if the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance does fall short of a majority, potentially undermining his bid for the premiership.

He spent the last day of a 300,000 km (185,000-mile) campaign odyssey on the road in Uttar Pradesh, also appealing in a blog post for a clean sweep of India's most populous state.