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19 April 2024

Global stocks, oil gain as Brexit nerves settle

Published
By Reuters

Stock markets around the world rebounded for the second day on Wednesday as fears about last week's Brexit vote eased and investors wagered central banks would ultimately ride to the rescue with more stimulus.

Britain's FTSE 100  closed at its highest level since April on Wednesday, as a two-day rally recouped the losses it suffered after Britain voted to leave the European Union.

Britain's FTSE 100 settled up 219.67 points, 3.6 per cent higher, at 6,360.06 points. The gains lifted the FTSE above last Thursday's close of 6,338.10.

The index had slumped as much as 8.7 per cent following the vote to leave the EU, which caused the pound to plunge. Its large weighting in dollar-earning companies and firms with international exposure shielded it from the worst of the post-referendum sell-off.

The mid-cap FTSE 250 remains down nearly 8 per cent since last Thursday and the pan-European STOXX Europe 600 is down nearly 6 per cent.

Oil prices rallied and Wall Street was sharply higher, turning positive for the year. Britain's FTSE 100 recovered all its post-Brexit losses to close at the highest level since April.

UK and European banks, a focus of concern since Britain shocked global markets by voting to leave the European Union, extended a recovery from two days of trading that had knocked almost 40 per cent off shares in Barclays and RBS .

An index of major European banks was up for the second straight day, but the gains could not come close to offsetting losses in the first two trading sessions after the referendum. Still, stock markets in Frankfurt, Paris and London all gained more than 2 per cent.

"While the initial panic from Brexit appears to have eased, a huge amount of uncertainty remains, which could continue to weigh on sentiment for a while," said Craig Erlam from online brokerage Oanda.

The S&P financial stocks index, which was hit the most since the referendum, was up 1.13 per cent.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 216.17 points, or 1.24 per cent, to 17,625.89, the S&P 500 gained 27.9 points, or 1.37 per cent, to 2,063.99 and the Nasdaq Composite added 73.82 points, or 1.57 per cent, to 4,765.68.

Sterling, the other big victim on Friday and Monday, was last up 1.4 per cent at $1.3522 against the dollar to recover a full 4 cents after Monday's 31-year low.

Markets face a prolonged period in limbo while a new UK prime minister is selected and officials come to grips with the possible scenarios for Britain's departure.

At the heart of the recovery are expectations that major central banks will go easier on monetary policy in anticipation of another hit to global growth from Europe.

The US 30-year Treasury yield approached record lows in a scramble for long-dated bonds on bets of more unconventional stimulus measures from major central banks.

"There are very reasonable expectations from central banks globally, especially from the US Federal Reserve, the ECB and the BOE, to provide more liquidity, guidance and clarity to support markets," said Stephen Woods, chief market strategist for Russell Investments in New York.

The first Federal Reserve policymaker to comment since the vote, Governor Jerome Powell, said Brexit had shifted global risks "to the downside", reinforcing expectations the Fed will not hike U.S. rates this year and could even cut.

"The Fed is going to be slower to begin raising rates again," said Mark Zandi, Moody's Analytics' chief economist.

Oil prices jumped after a larger-than-expected weekly drawdown in inventories, adding to its rally on fading concerns over Brexit and a looming strike by Norwegian oil and gas field workers.

US crude oil futures were up $1.23 cents at $49.06, while Brent crude rose $1.18 cents to $49.76.

Gold was firmer around $1,323.50 an ounce, off a low of $1,305.23 touched Tuesday.