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18 April 2024

UAE consumer confidence jumps

Consumer confidence in the UAE has shown significant improvement over the past six months (FILE)

Published
By Staff

Consumers in the UAE have indicated that they are highly optimistic about the coming six months, according to the results of the latest MasterCard Worldwide Index of Consumer Confidence.

Consumer confidence in the UAE is at a record high, with a score of 95.6 showing significant improvement from six months ago (73.6), a year ago (82.4) and even 18 months ago (86.1). In fact, the latest consumer confidence score for the UAE is the highest that it has been since 2004 and is significantly higher than markets such as China (78.3), Hong Kong (69.9) and India (75.2).

The Index is based on a survey which measures consumer confidence on prevailing expectations in the market for the next six months based on five economic indicators: Economy, Employment, Stock Market, Regular Income and Quality of Life. The Index score is calculated with zero as the most pessimistic, 100 as most optimistic and 50 as neutral.

The latest survey was conducted from March to April 2011 and involved 17,620 consumers from 25[1] markets. Data collection was via internet surveys, personal, telephone and Computer Aided Telephone interviews, with the questionnaire translated to the local language wherever appropriate and necessary. The Index and its accompanying reports do not represent MasterCard financial performance.

UAE consumers are most optimistic about the Economy (96.2) and Regular Income (96.1) and least optimistic about Employment (94.7). However, all indicators of consumer confidence were rated as being exceptionally positive, including Quality of Life (95.7) and the Stock Market (95.4)

The survey also revealed that male consumers in the UAE tend to be more optimistic about their prospects for the coming months as compared to female consumers (97.2 vs 93.6), and that those under thirty years of age tend to be more positive than consumers over the age of thirty (98.2 vs 93.5). However, it is worth noting that confidence levels for all gender and age demographics remain above 90.

“It is very encouraging to see that UAE consumer sentiment is continuing its upward momentum and is expected to reach a record high in the coming months. The findings are in line with the recent trends that we have observed in the market with retail, travel and hospitality sectors, in particular, registering a significant upturn. The MasterCard survey provides further good news for the UAE business community,” said Raghu Malhotra, general manager, Middle East, MasterCard Worldwide.

Overall, in the Middle East, consumer confidence has gone up significantly compared to six months ago (83.4 vs 71.6). Respondents were most optimistic about Regular Income (86.8 vs 83.0 six months ago) and least optimistic about the Stock Market, even though the latter indicator has increased drastically in the last six months (81.5 vs 63.2). In fact, all five economic indicators have increased in the Middle East compared to six months ago. The Middle East’s aggregate score of 83.4 is also substantially higher than that of Asia/ Pacific (61.5) and Africa (73.8).

Amongst other findings in the Middle East:

- Consumer Confidence is highest in Oman with a remarkable score of 99.0. It is worth nothing that this is the first time Oman is being included in the survey, so there are no previous comparable scores.

-  The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (the highest scoring market in the survey six months ago with a score of 95.1) further increased its score to 98.6.

-  All markets surveyed across the Middle East reflected increased levels of Consumer Confidence with the exception of Lebanon, for which the score fell from 54.3 six months ago to 15.0 in the current survey.

Consumer Confidence Results:

 

MARKETS

1H 2011

2H 2010

1H 2010

2H 2009

1H 2009

2H 2008

1H 2008

Egypt

78.2

47.7

45.5

59.5

32.3

55.6

32.3

Kuwait

90.8

80.4

96.9

70.9

49.5

96.6

89.4

Lebanon

15.0

54.3

44.6

55.4

64.4

69.1

32.0

Oman

99.0

-

-

-

-

-

-

Qatar

95.7

83.6

65.8

89.2

71.4

76.2

88.6

S. Arabia

98.6

95.1

85.0

83.2

67.1

72.4

80.2

UAE

95.6

73.6

82.4

86.1

29.6

75.4

85.4

Total Middle East

83.4

71.6

69.2

74.5

49.9

72.7

66.4