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25 April 2024

Standard Chartered: UAE Exports Projected to Reach AED 2 trillion by 2030

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By E247

Standard Chartered revealed today its latest research report titled "Future of Trade: New opportunities in high-growth corridors”. The report forecasts that the global trade industry is expected to reach AED 120 trillion by 2030, with a projected growth rate of five per cent. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is poised to play a pivotal role in this global trade growth, with its exports projected to reach around AED 2 trillion by 2030, showcasing a robust annual growth rate of 5.5 per cent.

Additionally, the research highlights that trade corridors anchored in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East are expected to outpace the global trade growth rate by almost four percentage points, propelling the combined trade volume in these regions to an astounding AED 53 trillion, accounting for 44 per cent of global trade by 2030.

UAE: corridors to watch

India is set to remain the UAE’s largest export destination, while exports to Turkiye, Vietnam and Singapore are among the fastest growing.

Corridor

Exports (AED 2030 annual growth)

Imports (AED 2030 annual growth)

Turkiye

55bn (10%)

29.4bn (8.4%)

India

265 bn (9.0%)

220.5bn (8.2%)

Vietnam

2.2 bn (7.2%)

33bn (7.4%)

Singapore

73.5 bn (6.3%)

33bn (6.4%)

Mainland China

99 bn (4.9%)

202bn (4.8%)

 

UAE: export sectors to watch

Driven by the government's unwavering commitment to facilitating cross-border trade, the UAE is undergoing substantial capacity expansions in critical industries. Notably, the country has achieved an impressive export diversity ratio of 0.54 per cent, surpassing the global average. (Export and import diversities are measured by an index; lower number indicates high diversity; global average for export diversity is 0.68 and for imports is 0.41). This is due to the country’s efforts in diversifying exports into non-oil sectors through relaxing foreign ownership rules and offering attractive incentives.  

Sector

Share of exports (2030)

CAGR 2021-2030

Metals and minerals

73%

6.3%

Plastics and rubbers

3%

5.4%

 

Global overview: high-growth corridors in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East

Corridor

CAGR (2021-2030)

Size (AED 2030)

Intra - ASEAN

8.7%

2.94tn

South Asia - ASEAN

8.6%

1.1tn

South Asia - Africa

8.2%

0.735tn

South Asia – Middle East

7.0%

0.734tn

East Asia - ASEAN

6.3%

7.7tn

Intra – East Asia

3.4%

8tn

 

Rola Abu Manneh, Chief Executive officer, Standard Chartered UAE, said: “The UAE's success in diversifying its exports along with the development of new trade corridors positions the country favourably for sustained growth and reinforces its economic resilience. This achievement is a direct result of the government’s dedicated efforts to facilitating cross-border trade.”

She concluded: “These trade projections further cement the UAE’s position as the regional trade hub. The UAE continues to advance trade integration, and spearheads diversification efforts with policies supporting innovation and sustainability. We maintain a positive outlook on the UAE’s ability to capitalise on these opportunities and sustain its upward trajectory in global trade arena.”