UN weather agency warns strong El Nino to intensify from August

UN official says El Nino to exacerbate extreme weather in sign of accelerated climate crisis.

By Reuters Published: 2026-07-31T22:46:00+04:00 1 min read
People enjoy the cool waters of the Isar during a heatwave in Munich, Germany, July 31, 2026. Picture credit: Reuters
People enjoy the cool waters of the Isar during a heatwave in Munich, Germany, July 31, 2026. Picture credit: Reuters

The United Nations weather agency warned on Friday ⁠that a strong El Nino is expected to intensify starting in August, warning that the phenomenon is likely to increase above-normal temperatures globally ‌and significantly shift rainfall patterns.

  • El Nino, a period of warming of sea surface temperatures in ‌the central and eastern Pacific Ocean, will ‌continue to steadily intensify into a strong ‌event during August-October 2026.
  • In ‌addition to a strengthening El Nino, a positive Indian Ocean ​Dipole (IOD) is forecast. ‌An IOD ​is a climate pattern ⁠in the western Indian Ocean that becomes warmer on average, while the eastern Indian Ocean becomes cooler ​than ⁠average.
  • Together, ⁠these phenomena can amplify regional climate impacts including drought, floods and wildfire risk, particularly around the Indian ⁠Ocean basin.
  • The agency, the World Meteorological Organisation, said it is intensifying its mobilisation of information and support services to help countries anticipate and minimise the impacts of El Nino.
  • "El ‌Nino is strengthening - adding fuel to a planet already on fire ​with scorching heat domes, apocalyptic wildfires and record hot seas. Fossil fuels are fanning the flames of this crisis," said UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres.